ゴトウ ヒサキ   GOTO HISAKI
  五藤 寿樹
   所属   経営学部
   職種   教授
言語種別 英語
発行・発表の年月 2023/03/11
形態種別 研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス)
標題 AUTOMOBILE SALES FORECAST USING SOCIAL LISTENING AND CONDITIONS TO FORECAST SALES
執筆形態 共著
掲載誌名 International Association for the Development of the Information Society Information Systems Conference 2023 Proceedings
掲載区分国外
出版社・発行元 International Association for the Development of the Information Society
担当区分 筆頭著者,責任著者
著者・共著者 Hisaki GOTO, Yukiko GOTO
概要 We gathered and analyzed tweets related to automobiles in Japan from June 2018 to May 2020, attempting to create a formula to forecast future automobile sales through content posted on Twitter. We found that forecasting the sale of automobiles is possible when the number of tweets for a model is large, which indicates that social media can be beneficial as alternative data to forecast product sales. Although we could successfully make a sales forecast on certain models with a large number of tweets, all the models were not possible to forecast. However, we propose a hypothesis that forecasting sales using Twitter is possible only after a product enters the so-called ‘cash cow’ phase under the Product Portfolio Matrix developed by Boston Consulting Group, which creates business strategy using market growth rates and relative markets.